Intake Forecasting
12-month forward projection · Seasonal decomposition model · All 5 boroughs
Predicted capacity pressure — next 3 months
Next month forecast
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Peak month (12mo)
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Low month (12mo)
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Summer vs winter
+40%
Jun–Aug vs Dec–Feb
Total intake — history & 12-month forecast
Shaded area = confidence interval (±15%) · Dashed line = forecast
Seasonal pattern
Average monthly intake 2018–2022 — plan staffing around these peaks
Forecast insights
AI-generated planning recommendations
☀️
Summer surge
Jun–Aug intake runs 40% above winter baseline. Recruit 30+ fosters by May to absorb the surge.
🐈
Kitten season
Cat intake spikes 60% in summer. Pre-position TNR resources in high-intake zip codes by April.
🏙️
Manhattan pressure
Manhattan has the longest stays (21 days). Forecast suggests capacity risk in Jun–Aug.
📉
Post-COVID trend
Intake 30% lower than 2018–19 peak. Model projects continued moderate volumes through 2024.